Discounted Cash Flow

Carrier Global Corp.

CARR · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2018 $18.9b $220.0m $1.8b 1.2% $3.16
2019 $18.6b (-1.6%) $236.0m (7.3%) $1.8b (1.6%) 1.3% (9.0%) $2.44 (-22.8%)
2020 $17.5b (-6.2%) $207.0m (-12.3%) $1.4b (-24.2%) 1.2% (-6.5%) $2.29 (-6.1%)
2021 $20.6b (18.1%) $249.0m (20.3%) $1.9b (37.2%) 1.2% (1.9%) $1.92 (-16.2%)
2022 $20.4b (-0.9%) $3.5b (1319.3%) $1.4b (-26.6%) 17.3% (1332.6%) $3.74 (94.8%)
2023 $22.1b (8.2%) $1.3b (-61.8%) $2.1b (53.8%) 6.1% (-64.7%) $1.66 (-55.6%)
2024 $22.5b (1.8%) $5.6b (315.4%) $44.0m (-97.9%) 24.9% (308.3%) $1.23 (-25.9%)
2025 $21.7b (-3.3%) $1.5b (-73.5%) $2.1b (4720.5%) 6.8% (-72.6%) $1.71 (39.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model