Discounted Cash Flow
Caseys General Stores Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $7.1b | $226.0m | $71.9m | 3.2% | $5.79 |
| 2017 | $7.5b (5.4%) | $177.5m (-21.5%) | $25.9m (-64.0%) | 2.4% (-25.5%) | $4.54 (-21.6%) |
| 2018 | $8.4b (11.8%) | $317.9m (79.1%) | $-157.6m (-709.0%) | 3.8% (60.2%) | $8.41 (85.2%) |
| 2019 | $9.4b (11.5%) | $203.9m (-35.9%) | $135.9m (186.2%) | 2.2% (-42.5%) | $5.55 (-34.0%) |
| 2020 | $9.2b (-1.9%) | $263.8m (29.4%) | $65.3m (-51.9%) | 2.9% (31.9%) | $7.14 (28.6%) |
| 2021 | $8.7b (-5.1%) | $312.9m (18.6%) | $362.8m (455.3%) | 3.6% (25.0%) | $8.44 (18.2%) |
| 2022 | $13.0b (48.8%) | $339.8m (8.6%) | $462.3m (27.4%) | 2.6% (-27.0%) | $9.14 (8.3%) |
| 2023 | $15.1b (16.5%) | $446.7m (31.5%) | $405.4m (-12.3%) | 3.0% (12.8%) | $11.99 (31.2%) |
| 2024 | $14.9b (-1.5%) | $502.0m (12.4%) | $370.9m (-8.5%) | 3.4% (14.1%) | $13.51 (12.7%) |
| 2025 | $15.9b (7.3%) | $546.5m (8.9%) | $584.6m (57.6%) | 3.4% (1.5%) | $14.72 (9.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.