Discounted Cash Flow

Century Communities, Inc.

CCS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $994.4m $49.5m $-53.6m 5.0% $2.34
2017 $1.4b (43.2%) $50.3m (1.5%) $-132.3m (-146.8%) 3.5% (-29.1%) $2.06 (-12.0%)
2018 $2.1b (50.8%) $96.5m (91.8%) $-211.4m (-59.8%) 4.5% (27.2%) $3.20 (55.3%)
2019 $2.5b (18.1%) $113.0m (17.1%) $-84.9m (59.8%) 4.5% (-0.8%) $3.66 (14.4%)
2020 $3.2b (24.7%) $206.2m (82.4%) $332.1m (491.0%) 6.5% (46.4%) $6.19 (69.1%)
2021 $4.2b (33.4%) $498.5m (141.8%) $-212.7m (-164.1%) 11.8% (81.3%) $14.79 (138.9%)
2022 $4.5b (6.9%) $525.1m (5.3%) $294.9m (238.6%) 11.7% (-1.4%) $16.12 (9.0%)
2023 $3.7b (-18.1%) $259.2m (-50.6%) $-1.5m (-100.5%) 7.0% (-39.8%) $8.12 (-49.6%)
2024 $4.4b (19.1%) $333.8m (28.8%) $86.7m (5835.8%) 7.6% (8.1%) $10.59 (30.4%)
2025 $4.1b (-6.4%) $147.6m (-55.8%) $124.3m (43.3%) 3.6% (-52.8%) $4.92 (-53.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model