Discounted Cash Flow
Central Garden & PET Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.8b | $44.5m | $123.8m | 2.4% | $0.91 |
| 2017 | $2.1b (12.3%) | $78.8m (77.1%) | $69.7m (-43.7%) | 3.8% (57.7%) | $1.57 (72.5%) |
| 2018 | $2.2b (7.8%) | $123.6m (56.8%) | $76.3m (9.5%) | 5.6% (45.4%) | $2.39 (52.2%) |
| 2019 | $2.4b (7.6%) | $92.8m (-24.9%) | $173.4m (127.4%) | 3.9% (-30.2%) | $1.63 (-31.8%) |
| 2020 | $2.7b (13.1%) | $120.7m (30.1%) | $221.2m (27.6%) | 4.5% (15.0%) | $2.23 (36.8%) |
| 2021 | $3.3b (22.6%) | $151.7m (25.7%) | $170.5m (-22.9%) | 4.6% (2.6%) | $2.81 (26.0%) |
| 2022 | $3.3b (1.1%) | $152.2m (0.3%) | $-149.2m (-187.5%) | 4.6% (-0.8%) | $2.86 (1.8%) |
| 2023 | $3.3b (-0.9%) | $125.6m (-17.4%) | $327.7m (319.6%) | 3.8% (-16.7%) | $2.40 (-16.1%) |
| 2024 | $3.2b (-3.3%) | $108.0m (-14.1%) | $351.8m (7.4%) | 3.4% (-11.1%) | $1.64 (-31.7%) |
| 2025 | $3.1b (-2.2%) | $162.8m (50.8%) | $291.1m (-17.2%) | 5.2% (54.2%) | $2.58 (57.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.