Discounted Cash Flow
Century Aluminum Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.3b | $-252.4m | $16.2m | -19.1% | $-2.90 |
| 2017 | $1.6b (20.5%) | $48.6m (119.2%) | $19.9m (22.7%) | 3.1% (116.0%) | $0.51 (117.6%) |
| 2018 | $1.9b (19.1%) | $-66.2m (-236.3%) | $-152.1m (-863.6%) | -3.5% (-214.4%) | $-0.76 (-249.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.8b (-3.0%) | $-80.8m (-22.1%) | $-41.9m (72.5%) | -4.4% (-25.8%) | $-0.91 (-19.7%) |
| 2020 | $1.6b (-12.6%) | $-123.3m (-52.6%) | $29.5m (170.4%) | -7.7% (-74.6%) | $-1.38 (-51.6%) |
| 2021 | $2.2b (37.8%) | $-167.1m (-35.5%) | $-147.7m (-600.7%) | -7.6% (1.7%) | $-1.85 (-34.1%) |
| 2022 | $2.8b (25.5%) | $-14.1m (91.6%) | $-60.4m (59.1%) | -0.5% (93.3%) | $-0.15 (91.9%) |
| 2023 | $2.2b (-21.3%) | $-43.1m (-205.7%) | $10.6m (117.5%) | -2.0% (-288.5%) | $-0.47 (-213.3%) |
| 2024 | $2.2b (1.6%) | $336.8m (881.4%) | $-106.9m (-1108.5%) | 15.2% (869.2%) | $3.44 (831.9%) |
| 2025 | $2.5b (13.9%) | $41.8m (-87.6%) | $84.8m (179.3%) | 1.7% (-89.1%) | $0.42 (-87.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.