Discounted Cash Flow

Central Puerto S.A. ADR

CEPU · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $4.7b $1.8b $-1.2b 37.6%
2017 $6.6b (40.3%) $3.5b (98.3%) $-2.1b (-67.4%) 53.2% (41.3%)
2018 $27.5b (316.7%) $17.5b (399.4%) $-3.3b (-57.0%) 63.7% (19.9%)
2019 $54.3b (97.6%) $8.8b (-49.7%) $-5.5b (-70.0%) 16.2% (-74.6%)
2020 $52.2b (-3.9%) $6.9b (-21.8%) $7.3b (232.4%) 13.2% (-18.6%)
2021 $57.1b (9.3%) $-742.1m (-110.8%) $-742.1m (-110.1%) -1.3% (-109.8%)
2022 $101.4b (77.6%) $19.0b (2665.8%) $52.3b (7146.1%) 18.8% (1544.4%) $85.79
2023 $313.6b (209.3%) $148.0b (677.5%) $115.8b (121.4%) 47.2% (151.4%) $214.55 (150.1%)
2024 $738.2b (135.4%) $49.6b (-66.5%) $115.7b (-0.1%) 6.7% (-85.8%) $33.01 (-84.6%)
2025 $1.1t (48.7%) $352.8b (611.4%) $115.8b (0.1%) 32.2% (378.5%) $230.61 (598.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model