Discounted Cash Flow

Certara, Inc.

CERT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — only_1_profitable_out_of_last_5

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2019 $208.5m $-8.9m $35.9m -4.3% $-0.07
2020 $243.5m (16.8%) $-49.4m (-453.4%) $43.9m (22.4%) -20.3% (-373.8%) $-0.37 (-449.9%)
2021 $286.1m (17.5%) $-13.3m (73.1%) $59.2m (34.8%) -4.6% (77.1%) $-0.09 (76.1%)
2022 $335.6m (17.3%) $14.7m (211.0%) $-1.3m (-102.1%) 4.4% (194.7%) $0.09 (206.1%)
2023 $354.3m (5.6%) $-55.4m (-475.8%) $-110.0k (91.3%) -15.6% (-456.0%) $-0.35 (-470.9%)
2024 $385.1m (8.7%) $-12.1m (78.2%) $221.0k (300.9%) -3.1% (80.0%) $-0.08 (78.4%)
2025 $418.8m (8.7%) $-1.6m (86.8%) $-2.8m (-1360.6%) -0.4% (87.8%) $-0.01 (86.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

only_1_profitable_out_of_last_5

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.