Discounted Cash Flow
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.7b | $-277.0m | $-1.6b | -7.5% | — |
| 2017 | $4.1b (12.1%) | $358.0m (229.2%) | $1.2b (172.6%) | 8.7% (215.3%) | — |
| 2018 | $4.4b (7.2%) | $290.0m (-19.0%) | $1.1b (-7.2%) | 6.5% (-24.5%) | — |
| 2019 | $4.6b (3.6%) | $493.0m (70.0%) | $1.1b (2.4%) | 10.7% (64.0%) | — |
| 2020 | $4.1b (-10.2%) | $317.0m (-35.7%) | $922.0m (-16.3%) | 7.7% (-28.4%) | — |
| 2021 | $6.5b (58.5%) | $917.0m (189.3%) | $2.4b (155.9%) | 14.0% (82.5%) | — |
| 2022 | $11.2b (71.1%) | $3.3b (264.9%) | $3.4b (44.2%) | 29.9% (113.3%) | — |
| 2023 | $6.6b (-40.7%) | $1.5b (-54.4%) | $2.3b (-33.6%) | 23.0% (-23.1%) | — |
| 2024 | $5.9b (-10.5%) | $1.2b (-20.1%) | $1.8b (-22.4%) | 20.5% (-10.8%) | — |
| 2025 | $7.1b (19.3%) | $1.5b (19.5%) | $1.8b (2.8%) | 20.5% (0.1%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.