Discounted Cash Flow
Carlyle Group Inc. LP
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.3b | $6.4m | $-326.0m | 0.3% | $0.08 |
| 2017 | $3.7b (61.6%) | $244.1m (3714.1%) | $-41.1m (87.4%) | 6.6% (2259.6%) | $2.58 (3125.0%) |
| 2018 | $2.4b (-34.0%) | $116.5m (-52.3%) | $-374.8m (-811.9%) | 4.8% (-27.7%) | $0.89 (-65.5%) |
| 2019 | $3.4b (39.1%) | $380.9m (227.0%) | $330.8m (188.3%) | 11.3% (135.0%) | $3.05 (242.7%) |
| 2020 | $2.9b (-13.1%) | $348.2m (-8.6%) | $-230.4m (-169.6%) | 11.9% (5.2%) | $0.99 (-67.5%) |
| 2021 | $8.8b (199.3%) | $3.0b (754.3%) | $1.7b (859.4%) | 33.9% (185.5%) | $8.37 (745.5%) |
| 2022 | $4.4b (-49.5%) | $1.2b (-58.8%) | $-419.9m (-124.0%) | 27.6% (-18.5%) | $3.39 (-59.5%) |
| 2023 | $3.0b (-33.2%) | $-608.4m (-149.7%) | $138.3m (132.9%) | -20.5% (-174.4%) | $-1.68 (-149.6%) |
| 2024 | $5.4b (83.1%) | $1.0b (267.7%) | $-837.2m (-705.4%) | 18.8% (191.6%) | $2.85 (269.6%) |
| 2025 | $4.8b (-11.9%) | $808.7m (-20.7%) | $-3.4b (-303.1%) | 16.9% (-10.0%) | $2.25 (-21.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.