Discounted Cash Flow
Cognex Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $520.8m | $149.6m | $169.3m | 28.7% | $1.75 |
| 2017 | $748.0m (43.6%) | $177.2m (18.5%) | $195.6m (15.5%) | 23.7% (-17.5%) | $1.02 (-41.7%) |
| 2018 | $806.3m (7.8%) | $219.3m (23.8%) | $186.4m (-4.7%) | 27.2% (14.8%) | $1.27 (24.5%) |
| 2019 | $725.6m (-10.0%) | $203.9m (-7.0%) | $231.5m (24.2%) | 28.1% (3.3%) | $1.19 (-6.3%) |
| 2020 | $811.0m (11.8%) | $176.2m (-13.6%) | $229.1m (-1.0%) | 21.7% (-22.7%) | $1.02 (-14.3%) |
| 2021 | $1.0b (27.9%) | $279.9m (58.9%) | $298.6m (30.3%) | 27.0% (24.2%) | $1.59 (55.9%) |
| 2022 | $1.0b (-3.0%) | $215.5m (-23.0%) | $223.7m (-25.1%) | 21.4% (-20.6%) | $1.24 (-22.0%) |
| 2023 | $837.5m (-16.8%) | $113.2m (-47.5%) | $89.8m (-59.8%) | 13.5% (-36.9%) | $0.66 (-46.8%) |
| 2024 | $914.5m (9.2%) | $106.2m (-6.2%) | $134.0m (49.2%) | 11.6% (-14.1%) | $0.62 (-6.1%) |
| 2025 | $994.4m (8.7%) | $114.4m (7.8%) | $236.8m (76.6%) | 11.5% (-0.9%) | $0.68 (9.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.