Discounted Cash Flow
Chemed Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.6b | $108.7m | $95.6m | 6.9% | $6.64 |
| 2017 | $1.7b (5.7%) | $98.2m (-9.7%) | $98.2m (2.7%) | 5.9% (-14.6%) | $6.11 (-8.0%) |
| 2018 | $1.2b (-28.1%) | $205.5m (109.4%) | $234.3m (138.6%) | 17.2% (191.4%) | $12.80 (109.5%) |
| 2019 | $1.3b (7.0%) | $219.9m (7.0%) | $248.2m (6.0%) | 17.2% (0.0%) | $13.77 (7.6%) |
| 2020 | $1.3b (4.2%) | $319.5m (45.3%) | $430.5m (73.4%) | 23.9% (39.4%) | $20.02 (45.4%) |
| 2021 | $1.3b (-5.5%) | $268.6m (-15.9%) | $249.9m (-41.9%) | 21.3% (-11.0%) | $17.14 (-14.4%) |
| 2022 | $1.2b (-4.7%) | $249.6m (-7.0%) | $252.6m (1.1%) | 20.8% (-2.4%) | $16.72 (-2.5%) |
| 2023 | $1.3b (9.4%) | $272.5m (9.2%) | $273.4m (8.3%) | 20.7% (-0.3%) | $18.11 (8.3%) |
| 2024 | $1.5b (16.4%) | $302.0m (10.8%) | $368.0m (34.6%) | 19.7% (-4.8%) | $20.10 (11.0%) |
| 2025 | $2.5b (65.3%) | $265.2m (-12.2%) | $325.5m (-11.5%) | 10.5% (-46.9%) | $18.42 (-8.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.