Discounted Cash Flow
Choice Hotels International Inc. /de
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $924.6m | $139.4m | $126.8m | 15.1% | $2.48 |
| 2017 | $1.0b (8.9%) | $114.9m (-17.6%) | $233.9m (84.4%) | 11.4% (-24.3%) | — |
| 2018 | $1.0b (3.4%) | $216.4m (88.3%) | $195.2m (-16.5%) | 20.8% (82.2%) | — |
| 2019 | $1.1b (7.2%) | $222.9m (3.0%) | $213.2m (9.2%) | 20.0% (-3.9%) | — |
| 2020 | $775.5m (-30.5%) | $75.4m (-66.2%) | $110.1m (-48.4%) | 9.7% (-51.3%) | — |
| 2021 | $1.1b (37.8%) | $289.0m (283.3%) | $383.7m (248.6%) | 27.0% (178.1%) | $5.20 |
| 2022 | $1.4b (31.1%) | $332.2m (14.9%) | $277.1m (-27.8%) | 23.7% (-12.3%) | $6.05 (16.3%) |
| 2023 | $1.5b (10.2%) | $258.5m (-22.2%) | $180.3m (-34.9%) | 16.7% (-29.4%) | $5.11 (-15.5%) |
| 2024 | $1.6b (2.6%) | $299.7m (15.9%) | $173.6m (-3.7%) | 18.9% (12.9%) | $6.26 (22.5%) |
| 2025 | $1.6b (0.8%) | $369.9m (23.5%) | $124.7m (-28.2%) | 23.2% (22.5%) | $7.97 (27.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.