Discounted Cash Flow

C H Robinson Worldwide, Inc.

CHRW · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $2.3b $513.4m $456.0m 22.5% $3.60
2017 $2.4b (4.0%) $504.9m (-1.7%) $343.9m (-24.6%) 21.3% (-5.4%) $3.59 (-0.3%)
2018 $16.6b (602.3%) $664.5m (31.6%) $747.9m (117.5%) 4.0% (-81.3%) $4.78 (33.1%)
2019 $15.3b (-7.9%) $577.0m (-13.2%) $799.1m (6.9%) 3.8% (-5.7%) $4.21 (-11.9%)
2020 $16.2b (5.9%) $506.4m (-12.2%) $476.1m (-40.4%) 3.1% (-17.1%) $3.74 (-11.2%)
2021 $23.1b (42.5%) $844.2m (66.7%) $60.8m (-87.2%) 3.7% (17.0%) $6.37 (70.3%)
2022 $24.7b (6.9%) $940.5m (11.4%) $1.6b (2514.1%) 3.8% (4.2%) $7.48 (17.4%)
2023 $17.6b (-28.7%) $325.1m (-65.4%) $702.0m (-55.8%) 1.8% (-51.5%) $2.74 (-63.4%)
2024 $17.7b (0.7%) $465.7m (43.2%) $486.4m (-30.7%) 2.6% (42.2%) $3.89 (42.0%)
2025 $16.2b (-8.4%) $587.1m (26.1%) $894.9m (84.0%) 3.6% (37.7%) $4.88 (25.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model