Discounted Cash Flow

Cigna Group

CI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $39.8b $1.8b $3.6b 4.6% $7.31
2017 $41.8b (4.9%) $2.2b (21.1%) $3.6b (1.4%) 5.3% (15.4%) $8.92 (22.0%)
2018 $48.6b (16.4%) $2.6b (18.5%) $3.2b (-10.3%) 5.4% (1.9%) $10.69 (19.8%)
2019 $153.6b (215.7%) $5.1b (93.5%) $8.4b (160.2%) 3.3% (-38.7%) $13.58 (27.0%)
2020 $160.4b (4.5%) $8.5b (65.8%) $9.3b (9.7%) 5.3% (58.7%) $23.17 (70.6%)
2021 $174.1b (8.5%) $5.4b (-36.2%) $6.0b (-34.8%) 3.1% (-41.2%) $15.87 (-31.5%)
2022 $180.5b (3.7%) $6.7b (24.6%) $7.4b (21.9%) 3.7% (20.1%) $21.54 (35.7%)
2023 $195.3b (8.2%) $5.4b (-20.4%) $10.2b (39.1%) 2.8% (-26.4%) $17.57 (-18.4%)
2024 $247.1b (26.6%) $3.8b (-29.7%) $9.0b (-12.5%) 1.5% (-44.4%) $12.25 (-30.3%)
2025 $274.9b (11.2%) $6.0b (57.7%) $8.4b (-6.3%) 2.2% (41.7%) $22.33 (82.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model