Discounted Cash Flow
Compx International Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $108.9m | $10.5m | $10.7m | 9.6% | $0.20 |
| 2017 | $112.0m (2.9%) | $13.2m (26.3%) | $9.8m (-8.4%) | 11.8% (22.7%) | $0.20 (0.0%) |
| 2018 | $118.2m (5.5%) | $15.3m (16.1%) | $14.0m (43.5%) | 13.0% (10.0%) | $0.20 (0.0%) |
| 2019 | $124.2m (5.1%) | $16.0m (4.4%) | $15.3m (8.9%) | 12.9% (-0.7%) | $1.29 (545.0%) |
| 2020 | $114.5m (-7.8%) | $10.3m (-35.5%) | $13.8m (-10.0%) | 9.0% (-30.0%) | $0.83 (-35.7%) |
| 2021 | $140.8m (22.9%) | $16.6m (60.5%) | $6.4m (-53.6%) | 11.8% (30.5%) | $1.34 (61.4%) |
| 2022 | $166.6m (18.3%) | $20.9m (26.0%) | $13.2m (106.8%) | 12.5% (6.5%) | $1.69 (26.1%) |
| 2023 | $161.3m (-3.2%) | $22.6m (8.3%) | $24.7m (87.0%) | 14.0% (11.8%) | $1.84 (8.9%) |
| 2024 | $145.9m (-9.5%) | $16.6m (-26.6%) | $21.5m (-12.9%) | 11.4% (-18.9%) | $1.35 (-26.6%) |
| 2025 | $158.3m (8.5%) | $19.5m (17.4%) | $19.1m (-11.1%) | 12.3% (8.3%) | $1.58 (17.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.