Discounted Cash Flow

Chatham Lodging Trust REIT

CLDT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $293.8m $31.5m $87.7m 10.7% $0.82
2017 $298.9m (1.7%) $29.5m (-6.4%) $86.7m (-1.1%) 9.9% (-7.9%) $0.73 (-11.0%)
2018 $324.2m (8.5%) $30.6m (3.9%) $86.2m (-0.5%) 9.5% (-4.2%) $0.66 (-9.6%)
2019 $328.3m (1.3%) $18.7m (-39.0%) $86.2m (0.0%) 5.7% (-39.7%) $0.39 (-40.9%)
2020 $144.9m (-55.9%) $-76.0m (-506.5%) $-20.0m (-123.1%) -52.5% (-1020.9%) $-1.62 (-515.4%)
2021 $204.0m (40.8%) $-18.4m (75.8%) $28.8m (244.2%) -9.0% (82.8%) $-0.46 (71.6%)
2022 $294.9m (44.6%) $9.8m (153.3%) $71.5m (148.6%) 3.3% (136.8%) $0.04 (108.7%)
2023 $312.4m (5.9%) $2.6m (-73.0%) $76.4m (6.9%) 0.8% (-74.5%) $-0.11 (-375.0%)
2024 $318.3m (1.9%) $4.2m (57.6%) $4.2m (-94.6%) 1.3% (54.6%) $-0.08 (27.3%)
2025 $295.1m (-7.3%) $15.1m (261.3%) $64.0m (1435.5%) 5.1% (289.8%) $0.14 (275.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model