Discounted Cash Flow
Clearfield, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $75.3m | $8.0m | $10.0m | 10.6% | $0.60 |
| 2017 | $73.9m (-1.8%) | $3.8m (-52.0%) | $4.3m (-56.5%) | 5.2% (-51.1%) | $0.28 (-53.3%) |
| 2018 | $77.7m (5.0%) | $4.3m (11.1%) | $3.5m (-19.9%) | 5.5% (5.8%) | $0.32 (14.3%) |
| 2019 | $85.0m (9.5%) | $4.6m (6.8%) | $12.2m (251.1%) | 5.4% (-2.5%) | $0.34 (6.3%) |
| 2020 | $93.1m (9.5%) | $7.3m (59.7%) | $4.8m (-60.3%) | 7.8% (45.9%) | $0.53 (55.9%) |
| 2021 | $140.8m (51.2%) | $20.3m (178.7%) | $8.9m (82.6%) | 14.4% (84.3%) | $1.48 (179.2%) |
| 2022 | $270.9m (92.4%) | $49.4m (142.8%) | $-7.5m (-184.7%) | 18.2% (26.2%) | $3.58 (141.9%) |
| 2023 | $268.7m (-0.8%) | $32.5m (-34.1%) | $12.3m (264.4%) | 12.1% (-33.6%) | $2.17 (-39.4%) |
| 2024 | $166.7m (-38.0%) | $-12.5m (-138.3%) | $12.7m (2.7%) | -7.5% (-161.7%) | $-0.85 (-139.2%) |
| 2025 | $150.1m (-9.9%) | $-8.1m (35.4%) | $-1.8m (-114.6%) | -5.4% (28.2%) | $-0.58 (31.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.