Discounted Cash Flow

Commercial Metals Co.

CMC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $4.0b $0 $423.5m 0.0%
2017 $4.0b (1.2%) $0 (-17.0%) $-38.6m (-109.1%) 0.0% (-18.0%)
2018 $4.6b (15.4%) $1 (200.0%) $-16.0m (58.7%) 0.0% (159.9%)
2019 $5.8b (25.5%) $2 (41.9%) $-101.8m (-537.4%) 0.0% (13.0%)
2020 $5.5b (-6.0%) $2 (39.8%) $603.6m (692.7%) 0.0% (48.8%)
2021 $6.7b (22.9%) $3 (45.7%) $44.3m (-92.7%) 0.0% (18.6%)
2022 $8.9b (32.4%) $10 (194.4%) $250.3m (464.9%) 0.0% (122.3%)
2023 $8.8b (-1.3%) $859.8m (8640803920.1%) $737.4m (194.6%) 9.8% (8752696487.2%)
2024 $7.9b (-9.9%) $485.5m (-43.5%) $575.4m (-22.0%) 6.1% (-37.3%)
2025 $7.8b (-1.6%) $84.7m (-82.6%) $312.2m (-45.7%) 1.1% (-82.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model