Discounted Cash Flow

CME Group Inc.

CME · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $3.6b $1.5b $1.6b 42.7% $4.55
2017 $3.6b (1.4%) $4.1b (164.9%) $1.8b (8.3%) 111.5% (161.3%) $12.00 (163.7%)
2018 $4.3b (18.2%) $2.0b (-51.7%) $2.3b (32.2%) 45.5% (-59.2%) $5.73 (-52.2%)
2019 $4.9b (13.0%) $2.1b (7.9%) $2.4b (4.4%) 43.5% (-4.5%) $5.93 (3.5%)
2020 $4.9b (0.3%) $2.1b (-0.5%) $2.5b (3.7%) 43.1% (-0.9%) $5.88 (-0.8%)
2021 $4.7b (-4.0%) $2.6b (25.2%) $2.3b (-9.6%) 56.2% (30.4%) $7.30 (24.1%)
2022 $5.0b (7.0%) $2.7b (2.1%) $3.0b (30.4%) 53.6% (-4.6%) $7.41 (1.5%)
2023 $5.6b (11.1%) $3.2b (19.9%) $3.4b (13.9%) 57.8% (7.9%) $8.87 (19.7%)
2024 $6.1b (9.9%) $3.5b (9.3%) $3.6b (6.5%) 57.5% (-0.5%) $9.69 (9.2%)
2025 $6.5b (6.4%) $4.1b (15.5%) $4.2b (16.6%) 62.5% (8.6%) $11.18 (15.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model