Discounted Cash Flow

Compass Minerals International Inc.

CMP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.1b $68.0m $-14.9m 6.0% $4.79
2017 $1.4b (19.9%) $51.4m (-24.4%) $32.8m (320.1%) 3.8% (-37.0%) $1.25 (-73.9%)
2018 $1.5b (9.5%) $97.7m (90.1%) $93.9m (186.3%) 6.5% (73.7%) $2.02 (61.6%)
2019 $1.5b (-0.2%) $102.9m (5.4%) $61.5m (-34.5%) 6.9% (5.6%) $1.82 (-9.9%)
2020 $1.0b (-32.6%) $49.1m (-52.3%) $90.3m (46.8%) 4.9% (-29.3%) $1.83 (0.5%)
2021 $1.1b (14.0%) $-390.3m (-895.4%) $55.6m (-38.4%) -34.1% (-797.6%) $-9.09 (-596.7%)
2022 $1.2b (8.6%) $46.3m (111.8%) $23.8m (-57.2%) 3.7% (110.9%) $-0.74 (91.9%)
2023 $1.2b (-3.2%) $65.5m (41.7%) $-48.3m (-302.9%) 5.4% (46.3%) $0.25 (133.8%)
2024 $1.1b (-7.2%) $161.7m (146.7%) $-99.8m (-106.6%) 14.5% (166.0%) $-4.99 (-2096.0%)
2025 $1.2b (11.3%) $103.1m (-36.2%) $128.0m (228.3%) 8.3% (-42.7%) $2.03 (140.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model