Discounted Cash Flow

Core Molding Technologies Inc.

CMT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $174.9m $7.4m $23.2m 4.2% $0.97
2017 $161.7m (-7.6%) $5.5m (-26.3%) $2.7m (-88.6%) 3.4% (-20.3%) $0.71 (-26.8%)
2018 $269.5m (66.7%) $-4.8m (-187.6%) $-12.3m (-564.7%) -1.8% (-152.6%) $-0.62 (-187.3%)
2019 $284.3m (5.5%) $-15.2m (-218.3%) $9.2m (175.0%) -5.4% (-201.8%) $-1.94 (-212.9%)
2020 $222.4m (-21.8%) $8.2m (153.6%) $24.5m (164.9%) 3.7% (168.6%) $0.98 (150.5%)
2021 $307.5m (38.3%) $4.7m (-42.8%) $977.0k (-96.0%) 1.5% (-58.6%) $0.55 (-43.9%)
2022 $377.4m (22.7%) $12.2m (161.3%) $2.4m (145.0%) 3.2% (112.9%) $1.44 (161.8%)
2023 $357.7m (-5.2%) $20.3m (66.5%) $25.7m (975.3%) 5.7% (75.7%) $2.37 (64.6%)
2024 $302.4m (-15.5%) $13.3m (-34.6%) $23.6m (-8.2%) 4.4% (-22.6%) $1.53 (-35.4%)
2025 $273.8m (-9.5%) $11.2m (-15.8%) $1.9m (-91.9%) 4.1% (-7.0%) $1.31 (-14.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model