Discounted Cash Flow

CNA Financial Corp.

CNA · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $9.4b $859.0m $1.3b 9.2% $3.18
2017 $9.4b (0.9%) $899.0m (4.7%) $1.2b (-9.3%) 9.5% (3.7%) $3.32 (4.4%)
2018 $10.1b (7.2%) $813.0m (-9.6%) $1.1b (-2.1%) 8.0% (-15.7%) $2.99 (-9.9%)
2019 $1.2b (-88.5%) $1.0b (23.0%) $1.1b (-1.2%) 86.1% (973.6%) $3.68 (23.1%)
2020 $1.3b (7.8%) $690.0m (-31.0%) $1.8b (57.3%) 55.1% (-36.0%) $2.54 (-31.0%)
2021 $1.4b (14.2%) $1.2b (74.2%) $2.0b (12.5%) 84.1% (52.5%) $4.42 (74.0%)
2022 $1.6b (10.1%) $894.0m (-25.6%) $2.5b (24.3%) 56.8% (-32.4%) $3.29 (-25.6%)
2023 $1.6b (3.2%) $1.2b (34.8%) $2.2b (-10.4%) 74.2% (30.6%) $4.44 (35.0%)
2024 $1.6b (-0.9%) $959.0m (-20.4%) $2.5b (12.8%) 59.6% (-19.7%) $3.53 (-20.5%)
2025 $1.6b (-2.0%) $1.3b (33.3%) $2.4b (-2.9%) 81.0% (36.0%) $4.71 (33.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model