Discounted Cash Flow

CNO Financial Group, Inc.

CNO · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $4.0b $358.2m $759.5m 9.0% $2.03
2017 $4.3b (7.8%) $175.6m (-51.0%) $613.1m (-19.3%) 4.1% (-54.5%) $1.03 (-49.3%)
2018 $4.3b (0.4%) $-315.0m (-279.4%) $317.8m (-48.2%) -7.3% (-278.7%) $-1.90 (-284.5%)
2019 $4.0b (-6.9%) $409.4m (230.0%) $696.7m (119.2%) 10.2% (239.6%) $2.62 (237.9%)
2020 $3.8b (-4.8%) $301.8m (-26.3%) $735.5m (5.6%) 7.9% (-22.5%) $2.12 (-19.1%)
2021 $4.1b (7.9%) $441.0m (46.1%) $598.3m (-18.7%) 10.7% (35.4%) $3.43 (61.8%)
2022 $3.6b (-13.2%) $396.8m (-10.0%) $495.4m (-17.2%) 11.1% (3.7%) $3.43 (0.0%)
2023 $4.1b (15.9%) $276.5m (-30.3%) $582.9m (17.7%) 6.7% (-39.9%) $2.44 (-28.9%)
2024 $4.4b (7.3%) $404.0m (46.1%) $627.7m (7.7%) 9.1% (36.2%) $3.81 (56.1%)
2025 $4.5b (0.9%) $229.3m (-43.2%) $675.7m (7.6%) 5.1% (-43.7%) $2.35 (-38.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model