Discounted Cash Flow
Core Natural Resources, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.2b | $41.5m | $275.5m | 3.4% | $1.48 |
| 2017 | $1.4b (14.7%) | $67.6m (63.0%) | $166.7m (-39.5%) | 4.8% (42.1%) | $2.42 (63.5%) |
| 2018 | $1.5b (4.3%) | $153.0m (126.2%) | $267.8m (60.6%) | 10.4% (116.8%) | $5.48 (126.4%) |
| 2019 | $1.4b (-6.6%) | $76.0m (-50.3%) | $74.8m (-72.1%) | 5.5% (-46.8%) | $2.82 (-48.5%) |
| 2020 | $879.5m (-36.1%) | $-9.8m (-112.8%) | $43.3m (-42.1%) | -1.1% (-120.1%) | $-0.37 (-113.1%) |
| 2021 | $1.3b (43.4%) | $34.1m (449.7%) | $172.8m (298.9%) | 2.7% (343.9%) | $0.99 (367.6%) |
| 2022 | $2.3b (80.8%) | $467.0m (1269.0%) | $479.5m (177.5%) | 20.5% (657.2%) | $13.41 (1254.5%) |
| 2023 | $2.5b (9.9%) | $655.9m (40.5%) | $690.2m (43.9%) | 26.2% (27.8%) | $19.91 (48.5%) |
| 2024 | $2.2b (-13.7%) | $286.4m (-56.3%) | $298.4m (-56.8%) | 13.2% (-49.4%) | $9.65 (-51.5%) |
| 2025 | $4.2b (92.4%) | $-153.2m (-153.5%) | $21.2m (-92.9%) | -3.7% (-127.8%) | $-2.98 (-130.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.