Discounted Cash Flow

Capital ONE Financial Corp.

COF · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $25.5b $3.8b $11.1b 14.7% $6.96
2017 $27.2b (6.8%) $2.0b (-47.2%) $13.2b (18.8%) 7.3% (-50.5%) $3.52 (-49.4%)
2018 $3.4b (-87.4%) $6.0b (203.5%) $12.1b (-8.1%) 175.3% (2309.2%) $11.90 (238.1%)
2019 $3.8b (11.3%) $5.5b (-7.8%) $15.8b (30.1%) 145.2% (-17.2%) $11.10 (-6.7%)
2020 $3.7b (-2.2%) $2.7b (-51.1%) $16.0b (1.5%) 72.6% (-50.0%) $5.19 (-53.2%)
2021 $4.8b (27.9%) $12.4b (356.5%) $11.6b (-27.4%) 259.2% (256.9%) $27.04 (421.0%)
2022 $5.4b (13.3%) $7.4b (-40.6%) $12.9b (10.9%) 135.9% (-47.6%) $17.98 (-33.5%)
2023 $5.6b (4.2%) $4.9b (-33.6%) $19.6b (52.3%) 86.6% (-36.3%) $11.98 (-33.4%)
2024 $5.9b (4.8%) $4.8b (-2.8%) $17.0b (-13.6%) 80.3% (-7.2%) $11.61 (-3.1%)
2025 $8.1b (36.3%) $2.5b (-48.4%) $2.5b (-85.5%) 30.4% (-62.1%) $4.03 (-65.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model