Discounted Cash Flow

Choiceone Financial Services Inc.

COFS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $27.2m $6.1m $9.1m 22.4% $1.85
2017 $28.4m (4.2%) $6.2m (1.3%) $6.4m (-29.4%) 21.7% (-2.8%) $1.79 (-3.2%)
2018 $29.0m (2.1%) $7.3m (18.9%) $5.7m (-10.7%) 25.3% (16.4%) $2.03 (13.4%)
2019 $36.9m (27.5%) $7.2m (-2.2%) $8.4m (46.8%) 19.4% (-23.3%) $1.58 (-22.2%)
2020 $73.8m (99.7%) $15.6m (117.7%) $6.6m (-21.5%) 21.2% (9.0%) $2.08 (31.6%)
2021 $79.8m (8.2%) $22.0m (41.2%) $34.9m (427.3%) 27.6% (30.5%) $2.87 (38.0%)
2022 $81.4m (1.9%) $23.6m (7.2%) $43.9m (25.5%) 29.0% (5.2%) $3.15 (9.8%)
2023 $80.8m (-0.7%) $21.3m (-10.1%) $42.2m (-3.7%) 26.3% (-9.4%) $2.82 (-10.5%)
2024 $92.4m (14.4%) $26.7m (25.7%) $46.9m (11.1%) 28.9% (9.9%) $3.27 (16.0%)
2025 $161.7m (75.0%) $28.2m (5.4%) $25.2m (-46.3%) 17.4% (-39.7%) $2.02 (-38.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model