Discounted Cash Flow

Columbia Banking System, Inc.

COLB · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $333.6m $104.9m $141.3m 31.4% $1.81
2017 $368.0m (10.3%) $112.8m (7.6%) $122.0m (-13.7%) 30.7% (-2.5%) $1.86 (2.8%)
2018 $478.8m (30.1%) $172.9m (53.2%) $225.9m (85.1%) 36.1% (17.8%) $2.36 (26.9%)
2019 $493.4m (3.0%) $194.5m (12.5%) $196.3m (-13.1%) 39.4% (9.2%) $2.68 (13.6%)
2020 $500.1m (1.4%) $154.2m (-20.7%) $183.6m (-6.5%) 30.8% (-21.7%) $2.17 (-19.0%)
2021 $527.5m (5.5%) $202.8m (31.5%) $228.9m (24.7%) 38.4% (24.7%) $2.79 (28.6%)
2022 $622.8m (18.1%) $250.2m (23.3%) $293.5m (28.2%) 40.2% (4.5%) $3.20 (14.7%)
2023 $134.3m (-78.4%) $348.7m (39.4%) $628.8m (114.3%) 259.7% (546.6%) $1.79 (-44.1%)
2024 $148.8m (10.8%) $533.7m (53.0%) $622.9m (-1.0%) 358.6% (38.1%) $2.56 (43.0%)
2025 $177.0m (18.9%) $550.0m (3.1%) $706.0m (13.3%) 310.7% (-13.4%) $2.31 (-9.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model