Discounted Cash Flow
Costco Wholesale Corp. /New
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $116.1b | $2.4b | $643.0m | 2.0% | $5.36 |
| 2017 | $126.2b (8.7%) | $2.7b (14.0%) | $4.2b (556.9%) | 2.1% (4.9%) | $6.11 (14.0%) |
| 2018 | $141.6b (12.2%) | $3.1b (17.0%) | $2.8b (-33.6%) | 2.2% (4.3%) | $7.15 (17.0%) |
| 2019 | $152.7b (7.9%) | $3.7b (16.8%) | $3.4b (19.7%) | 2.4% (8.2%) | $8.32 (16.4%) |
| 2020 | $166.8b (9.2%) | $4.0b (9.4%) | $6.1b (80.2%) | 2.4% (0.2%) | $9.05 (8.8%) |
| 2021 | $195.9b (17.5%) | $5.0b (25.1%) | $5.4b (-11.3%) | 2.6% (6.5%) | $11.30 (24.9%) |
| 2022 | $227.0b (15.8%) | $5.8b (16.7%) | $3.5b (-34.8%) | 2.6% (0.8%) | $13.17 (16.5%) |
| 2023 | $242.3b (6.8%) | $6.3b (7.7%) | $6.7b (92.7%) | 2.6% (0.9%) | $14.18 (7.7%) |
| 2024 | $254.5b (5.0%) | $7.4b (17.1%) | $6.6b (-1.7%) | 2.9% (11.5%) | $16.59 (17.0%) |
| 2025 | $275.2b (8.2%) | $8.1b (9.9%) | $7.8b (18.2%) | 2.9% (1.6%) | $18.24 (9.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.