Discounted Cash Flow
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd./Cn
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $6.2b | $1.1b | $650.9m | 18.4% | $10.69 |
| 2017 | $6.6b (5.2%) | $1.7b (50.4%) | $604.3m (-7.2%) | 26.3% (43.0%) | $16.49 (54.3%) |
| 2018 | $7.3b (10.7%) | $1.4b (-18.9%) | $833.2m (37.9%) | 19.3% (-26.7%) | $13.65 (-17.2%) |
| 2019 | $7.7b (6.5%) | $1.8b (25.1%) | $963.9m (15.7%) | 22.7% (17.4%) | $17.58 (28.8%) |
| 2020 | $7.6b (-1.0%) | $1.8b (0.2%) | $811.7m (-15.8%) | 22.9% (1.2%) | $18.05 (2.7%) |
| 2021 | $7.9b (3.5%) | $2.0b (16.7%) | $1.5b (90.6%) | 25.9% (12.7%) | $4.20 (-76.7%) |
| 2022 | $8.7b (10.3%) | $2.5b (23.3%) | $1.9b (19.9%) | 28.9% (11.8%) | $3.78 (-10.0%) |
| 2023 | $12.4b (42.5%) | $2.8b (11.7%) | $1.2b (-35.4%) | 22.7% (-21.7%) | $4.22 (11.6%) |
| 2024 | $14.4b (15.8%) | $2.7b (-5.3%) | $1.8b (46.4%) | 18.5% (-18.3%) | $3.98 (-5.7%) |
| 2025 | $15.0b (3.9%) | $3.0b (11.4%) | $1.6b (-9.7%) | 19.9% (7.2%) | $4.52 (13.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.