Discounted Cash Flow

Cricut, Inc.

CRCT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2019 $486.6m $39.2m $-10.2m 8.1% $0.19
2020 $959.0m (97.1%) $154.6m (294.2%) $226.4m (2312.1%) 16.1% (100.0%) $0.74 (289.5%)
2021 $1.3b (36.2%) $140.5m (-9.1%) $-140.7m (-162.2%) 10.8% (-33.3%) $0.67 (-9.5%)
2022 $886.3m (-32.1%) $60.7m (-56.8%) $83.9m (159.6%) 6.8% (-36.4%) $0.28 (-58.2%)
2023 $765.1m (-13.7%) $53.6m (-11.6%) $264.4m (215.1%) 7.0% (2.4%) $0.25 (-10.7%)
2024 $712.5m (-6.9%) $62.8m (17.1%) $246.6m (-6.7%) 8.8% (25.8%) $0.29 (16.0%)
2025 $708.8m (-0.5%) $76.7m (22.1%) $175.8m (-28.7%) 10.8% (22.7%) $0.36 (24.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model