Discounted Cash Flow
Crocs, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.0b | $-16.5m | $26.5m | -1.6% | $-0.43 |
| 2017 | $1.0b (-1.2%) | $10.2m (162.1%) | $85.1m (221.1%) | 1.0% (162.8%) | $-0.07 (83.7%) |
| 2018 | $1.1b (6.3%) | $50.4m (392.6%) | $102.2m (20.0%) | 4.6% (363.4%) | $-1.01 (-1342.9%) |
| 2019 | $1.2b (13.1%) | $119.5m (136.9%) | $53.4m (-47.8%) | 9.7% (109.5%) | $1.70 (268.3%) |
| 2020 | $1.4b (12.6%) | $312.9m (161.8%) | $224.9m (321.2%) | 22.6% (132.5%) | $4.64 (172.9%) |
| 2021 | $2.3b (66.9%) | $725.7m (132.0%) | $511.2m (127.4%) | 31.4% (39.0%) | $11.62 (150.4%) |
| 2022 | $3.6b (53.7%) | $540.2m (-25.6%) | $499.0m (-2.4%) | 15.2% (-51.6%) | $8.82 (-24.1%) |
| 2023 | $4.0b (11.5%) | $792.6m (46.7%) | $814.8m (63.3%) | 20.0% (31.6%) | $12.91 (46.4%) |
| 2024 | $4.1b (3.5%) | $950.1m (19.9%) | $923.1m (13.3%) | 23.2% (15.8%) | $16.00 (23.9%) |
| 2025 | $4.0b (-1.5%) | $-81.2m (-108.5%) | $659.2m (-28.6%) | -2.0% (-108.7%) | $-1.50 (-109.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.