Discounted Cash Flow
Carpenter Technology Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.8b | $11.3m | $256.9m | 0.6% | $0.23 |
| 2017 | $1.8b (-0.9%) | $47.0m (315.9%) | $129.3m (-49.7%) | 2.6% (319.6%) | $0.99 (330.4%) |
| 2018 | $2.2b (20.0%) | $188.5m (301.1%) | $209.2m (61.8%) | 8.7% (234.1%) | $3.96 (300.0%) |
| 2019 | $2.4b (10.3%) | $167.0m (-11.4%) | $232.4m (11.1%) | 7.0% (-19.7%) | $3.46 (-12.6%) |
| 2020 | $2.2b (-8.4%) | $1.5m (-99.1%) | $231.8m (-0.3%) | 0.1% (-99.0%) | $0.02 (-99.4%) |
| 2021 | $1.5b (-32.3%) | $-229.6m (-15406.7%) | $250.0m (7.9%) | -15.6% (-22724.9%) | $-4.76 (-23900.0%) |
| 2022 | $1.8b (24.4%) | $-49.1m (78.6%) | $-85.3m (-134.1%) | -2.7% (82.8%) | $-1.01 (78.8%) |
| 2023 | $2.6b (38.9%) | $56.4m (214.9%) | $-67.6m (20.8%) | 2.2% (182.7%) | $1.15 (213.9%) |
| 2024 | $2.8b (8.2%) | $186.5m (230.7%) | $178.3m (363.8%) | 6.8% (205.6%) | $3.75 (226.1%) |
| 2025 | $2.9b (4.3%) | $376.0m (101.6%) | $286.1m (60.5%) | 13.1% (93.4%) | $7.50 (100.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.