Discounted Cash Flow
Cisco Systems, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $49.2b | $10.7b | $13.5b | 21.8% | $2.13 |
| 2017 | $48.0b (-2.5%) | $9.6b (-10.5%) | $13.9b (2.5%) | 20.0% (-8.2%) | $1.92 (-9.9%) |
| 2018 | $49.3b (2.8%) | $110.0m (-98.9%) | $13.6b (-1.9%) | 0.2% (-98.9%) | $0.02 (-99.0%) |
| 2019 | $51.9b (5.2%) | $11.6b (10464.5%) | $15.8b (16.2%) | 22.4% (9940.6%) | $2.63 (13050.0%) |
| 2020 | $49.3b (-5.0%) | $11.2b (-3.5%) | $15.2b (-3.6%) | 22.7% (1.6%) | $2.65 (0.8%) |
| 2021 | $49.8b (1.0%) | $10.6b (-5.6%) | $15.4b (1.2%) | 21.3% (-6.5%) | $2.51 (-5.3%) |
| 2022 | $51.6b (3.5%) | $11.8b (11.5%) | $13.1b (-14.9%) | 22.9% (7.8%) | $2.83 (12.7%) |
| 2023 | $57.0b (10.6%) | $12.6b (6.8%) | $19.9b (51.4%) | 22.1% (-3.4%) | $3.08 (8.8%) |
| 2024 | $53.8b (-5.6%) | $10.3b (-18.2%) | $10.2b (-48.6%) | 19.2% (-13.3%) | $2.55 (-17.2%) |
| 2025 | $56.7b (5.3%) | $10.2b (-1.4%) | $13.3b (30.1%) | 18.0% (-6.3%) | $2.56 (0.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.