Discounted Cash Flow
Canadian Solar Inc. Foreign
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.9b | $65.2m | $-564.8m | 2.3% | $1.13 |
| 2017 | $3.4b (18.8%) | $99.6m (52.6%) | $-73.1m (87.1%) | 2.9% (28.4%) | $1.71 (51.3%) |
| 2018 | $3.7b (10.4%) | $237.1m (138.1%) | $-100.0m (-36.9%) | 6.3% (115.6%) | $4.02 (135.1%) |
| 2019 | $3.2b (-14.5%) | $171.6m (-27.6%) | $578.2m (678.2%) | 5.4% (-15.3%) | $2.88 (-28.4%) |
| 2020 | $3.5b (8.6%) | $146.7m (-14.5%) | $-132.4m (-122.9%) | 4.2% (-21.3%) | $2.46 (-14.6%) |
| 2021 | $5.3b (51.8%) | $95.2m (-35.1%) | $-414.3m (-213.0%) | 1.8% (-57.2%) | $1.55 (-37.0%) |
| 2022 | $7.5b (41.5%) | $240.0m (151.9%) | $856.3m (306.7%) | 3.2% (78.0%) | $3.73 (140.6%) |
| 2023 | $7.6b (1.9%) | $274.2m (14.3%) | $-431.8m (-150.4%) | 3.6% (12.1%) | $4.19 (12.3%) |
| 2024 | $6.0b (-21.3%) | $36.1m (-86.9%) | $-950.6m (-120.1%) | 0.6% (-83.3%) | $0.54 (-87.1%) |
| 2025 | $5.6b (-6.6%) | $-104.1m (-388.8%) | $-306.8m (67.7%) | -1.9% (-409.4%) | $-2.50 (-563.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.