Discounted Cash Flow

Constellium SE

CSTM · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $4.7b $-4.0m $-267.0m -0.1% $-0.04
2017 $5.2b (10.4%) $-31.0m (-675.0%) $-116.0m (56.6%) -0.6% (-601.9%) $-0.28 (-600.0%)
2018 $5.7b (8.6%) $188.0m (706.5%) $-211.0m (-81.9%) 3.3% (658.6%) $1.40 (600.0%)
2019 $5.9b (3.9%) $59.0m (-68.6%) $176.0m (183.4%) 1.0% (-69.8%) $0.43 (-69.3%)
2020 $4.9b (-17.3%) $-21.0m (-135.6%) $152.0m (-13.6%) -0.4% (-143.1%) $-0.15 (-134.9%)
2021 $6.2b (26.0%) $257.0m (1323.8%) $125.0m (-17.8%) 4.2% (1071.4%) $1.82 (1313.3%)
2022 $8.1b (32.0%) $301.0m (17.1%) $178.0m (42.4%) 3.7% (-11.3%) $2.10 (15.4%)
2023 $7.2b (-10.8%) $125.0m (-58.5%) $169.0m (-5.1%) 1.7% (-53.4%) $0.85 (-59.5%)
2024 $7.3b (1.3%) $56.0m (-55.2%) $-112.0m (-166.3%) 0.8% (-55.8%) $0.38 (-55.3%)
2025 $8.4b (15.2%) $273.0m (387.5%) $159.0m (242.0%) 3.2% (323.2%) $1.95 (413.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model