Discounted Cash Flow
Carriage Services Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $248.2m | $19.6m | $32.6m | 7.9% | $1.18 |
| 2017 | $258.1m (4.0%) | $37.2m (89.9%) | $28.8m (-11.6%) | 14.4% (82.6%) | $2.25 (90.7%) |
| 2018 | $268.0m (3.8%) | $11.6m (-68.7%) | $35.5m (23.0%) | 4.3% (-69.8%) | $0.64 (-71.6%) |
| 2019 | $274.1m (2.3%) | $14.5m (24.8%) | $27.8m (-21.5%) | 5.3% (22.0%) | $0.81 (26.6%) |
| 2020 | $329.4m (20.2%) | $16.1m (10.7%) | $67.7m (143.3%) | 4.9% (-7.9%) | $0.90 (11.1%) |
| 2021 | $375.9m (14.1%) | $33.2m (106.1%) | $59.4m (-12.3%) | 8.8% (80.6%) | $1.90 (111.1%) |
| 2022 | $370.2m (-1.5%) | $41.4m (24.8%) | $34.9m (-41.1%) | 11.2% (26.7%) | $2.78 (46.3%) |
| 2023 | $382.5m (3.3%) | $33.4m (-19.3%) | $57.6m (64.7%) | 8.7% (-21.9%) | $2.24 (-19.4%) |
| 2024 | $404.2m (5.7%) | $33.0m (-1.4%) | $35.9m (-37.6%) | 8.2% (-6.7%) | $2.17 (-3.1%) |
| 2025 | $417.4m (3.3%) | $51.5m (56.3%) | $40.1m (11.6%) | 12.3% (51.3%) | $3.29 (51.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.