Discounted Cash Flow
CSX Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $11.1b | $1.7b | $643.0m | 15.5% | $0.60 |
| 2017 | $11.4b (3.1%) | $5.5b (219.2%) | $1.4b (122.7%) | 48.0% (209.7%) | $2.00 (232.0%) |
| 2018 | $12.2b (7.4%) | $3.3b (-39.5%) | $2.9b (102.2%) | 27.0% (-43.7%) | $1.29 (-35.8%) |
| 2019 | $11.9b (-2.6%) | $3.3b (0.7%) | $3.2b (10.3%) | 27.9% (3.3%) | $1.39 (8.3%) |
| 2020 | $10.6b (-11.3%) | $2.8b (-17.0%) | $2.6b (-17.4%) | 26.1% (-6.4%) | $1.20 (-13.6%) |
| 2021 | $12.5b (18.3%) | $3.8b (36.7%) | $3.3b (25.4%) | 30.2% (15.6%) | $1.68 (39.6%) |
| 2022 | $14.9b (18.6%) | $4.2b (10.2%) | $3.5b (5.4%) | 28.0% (-7.1%) | $1.95 (16.1%) |
| 2023 | $14.7b (-1.3%) | $3.7b (-10.8%) | $3.3b (-6.3%) | 25.3% (-9.6%) | $1.85 (-5.1%) |
| 2024 | $14.5b (-0.8%) | $3.5b (-6.6%) | $2.7b (-16.8%) | 23.9% (-5.8%) | $1.79 (-3.2%) |
| 2025 | $14.1b (-3.1%) | $2.9b (-16.7%) | $1.7b (-37.0%) | 20.5% (-14.1%) | $1.54 (-14.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.