Discounted Cash Flow

Caretrust Reit, Inc. REIT

CTRE · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $104.7m $29.4m $64.3m 28.0% $0.52
2017 $133.0m (27.0%) $25.9m (-11.9%) $88.4m (37.5%) 19.5% (-30.6%) $0.35 (-32.7%)
2018 $3.4m (-97.5%) $57.9m (123.9%) $97.6m (10.4%) 1714.2% (8710.3%) $0.73 (108.6%)
2019 $3.4m (0.3%) $46.4m (-20.0%) $123.4m (26.4%) 1367.9% (-20.2%) $0.49 (-32.9%)
2020 $2.1m (-38.7%) $80.9m (74.4%) $137.4m (11.4%) 3893.5% (184.6%) $0.85 (73.5%)
2021 $0 (-100.0%) $72.0m (-11.0%) $150.9m (9.8%) $0.74 (-12.9%)
2022 $0 $-7.5m (-110.4%) $137.1m (-9.1%) $-0.08 (-110.8%)
2023 $217.8m $53.7m (815.9%) $143.8m (4.9%) 24.7% $0.50 (725.0%)
2024 $296.3m (36.1%) $125.1m (132.8%) $236.2m (64.3%) 42.2% (71.1%) $0.81 (62.0%)
2025 $1.2m (-99.6%) $320.5m (156.3%) $379.0m (60.5%) 26166.4% (61882.2%) $1.57 (93.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model