Discounted Cash Flow
Citi Trends Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $695.2m | $13.3m | $39.7m | 1.9% | $0.91 |
| 2018 | $755.2m (8.6%) | $14.6m (9.3%) | $42.3m (6.4%) | 1.9% (0.6%) | $1.04 (14.3%) |
| 2019 | $769.6m (1.9%) | $21.4m (46.7%) | $30.4m (-28.1%) | 2.8% (43.9%) | $1.64 (57.7%) |
| 2020 | $781.9m (1.6%) | $16.5m (-22.8%) | $42.6m (40.1%) | 2.1% (-24.0%) | $1.41 (-14.0%) |
| 2021 | $783.3m (0.2%) | $24.0m (45.3%) | $110.9m (160.2%) | 3.1% (45.0%) | $2.33 (65.2%) |
| 2022 | $991.6m (26.6%) | $62.2m (159.6%) | $74.3m (-33.0%) | 6.3% (105.0%) | $6.98 (199.6%) |
| 2023 | $795.0m (-19.8%) | $58.9m (-5.4%) | $-16.5m (-122.2%) | 7.4% (18.0%) | $7.17 (2.7%) |
| 2024 | $747.9m (-5.9%) | $-12.0m (-120.3%) | $-24.5m (-47.9%) | -1.6% (-121.6%) | $-1.46 (-120.4%) |
| 2025 | $753.1m (0.7%) | $-43.2m (-260.4%) | $-14.0m (42.9%) | -5.7% (-257.9%) | $-5.19 (-255.5%) |
| 2026 | $820.0m (8.9%) | $5.2m (112.1%) | $624.0k (104.5%) | 0.6% (111.1%) | $0.65 (112.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.