Discounted Cash Flow
Cavco Industries, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $773.8m | $38.0m | $39.5m | 4.9% | $4.23 |
| 2018 | $871.2m (12.6%) | $61.5m (62.0%) | $50.4m (27.6%) | 7.1% (43.9%) | $6.82 (61.2%) |
| 2019 | $962.7m (10.5%) | $68.6m (11.6%) | $25.2m (-50.0%) | 7.1% (1.0%) | $7.56 (10.9%) |
| 2020 | $1.1b (10.3%) | $75.1m (9.4%) | $87.4m (246.8%) | 7.1% (-0.8%) | $8.22 (8.7%) |
| 2021 | $1.1b (4.4%) | $76.6m (2.1%) | $88.5m (1.3%) | 6.9% (-2.2%) | $8.34 (1.5%) |
| 2022 | $1.6b (46.8%) | $197.7m (157.9%) | $125.6m (41.9%) | 12.1% (75.6%) | $21.54 (158.3%) |
| 2023 | $2.1b (31.7%) | $240.6m (21.7%) | $211.6m (68.5%) | 11.2% (-7.6%) | $27.20 (26.3%) |
| 2024 | $1.8b (-16.2%) | $157.8m (-34.4%) | $207.3m (-2.0%) | 8.8% (-21.7%) | $18.55 (-31.8%) |
| 2025 | $2.0b (12.3%) | $171.0m (8.4%) | $157.1m (-24.2%) | 8.5% (-3.5%) | $20.97 (13.0%) |
| 2026 | $2.2b (11.4%) | $190.6m (11.4%) | $232.1m (47.8%) | 8.5% (0.0%) | $24.26 (15.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.