Discounted Cash Flow
Cenovus Energy Inc. Foreign
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $11.0b | $-545.0m | $861.0m | -5.0% | $-0.65 |
| 2017 | $17.0b (54.9%) | $3.4b (717.6%) | $3.1b (255.3%) | 19.8% (498.8%) | $3.05 (569.2%) |
| 2018 | $20.8b (22.3%) | $-2.7b (-179.3%) | $2.2b (-29.6%) | -12.8% (-164.8%) | $-2.17 (-171.1%) |
| 2019 | $20.2b (-3.2%) | $2.2b (182.2%) | $3.3b (52.5%) | 10.9% (184.9%) | $1.78 (182.0%) |
| 2020 | $13.2b (-34.5%) | $-2.4b (-208.4%) | $273.0m (-91.7%) | -18.0% (-265.4%) | $-1.94 (-209.0%) |
| 2021 | $46.4b (250.5%) | $587.0m (124.7%) | $5.7b (1971.1%) | 1.3% (107.0%) | $0.27 (113.9%) |
| 2022 | $66.9b (44.3%) | $6.5b (998.8%) | $7.6b (35.2%) | 9.6% (661.4%) | $3.29 (1118.5%) |
| 2023 | $52.2b (-22.0%) | $4.1b (-36.3%) | $3.1b (-59.6%) | 7.9% (-18.4%) | $2.15 (-34.7%) |
| 2024 | $54.3b (4.0%) | $3.1b (-23.5%) | $4.2b (36.6%) | 5.8% (-26.5%) | $1.68 (-21.9%) |
| 2025 | $49.7b (-8.4%) | $3.9b (25.1%) | $3.3b (-21.3%) | 7.9% (36.6%) | $2.16 (28.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.