Discounted Cash Flow
Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $662.1m | $6.8m | $37.9m | 1.0% | $0.23 |
| 2017 | $755.2m (14.1%) | $-1.7m (-125.1%) | $-11.2m (-129.5%) | -0.2% (-122.0%) | $-0.06 (-126.1%) |
| 2018 | $897.7m (18.9%) | $44.5m (2710.7%) | $26.8m (339.6%) | 5.0% (2296.3%) | $1.47 (2550.0%) |
| 2019 | $901.2m (0.4%) | $15.8m (-64.6%) | $12.7m (-52.5%) | 1.8% (-64.7%) | $0.52 (-64.6%) |
| 2020 | $717.7m (-20.4%) | $-37.0m (-334.8%) | $27.2m (113.7%) | -5.2% (-394.9%) | $-1.20 (-330.8%) |
| 2021 | $971.6m (35.4%) | $23.7m (164.1%) | $-47.5m (-274.4%) | 2.4% (147.3%) | $0.75 (162.5%) |
| 2022 | $981.6m (1.0%) | $-22.0m (-192.6%) | $49.2m (203.7%) | -2.2% (-191.6%) | $-0.68 (-190.7%) |
| 2023 | $994.7m (1.3%) | $49.4m (324.9%) | $18.6m (-62.3%) | 5.0% (321.9%) | $1.50 (320.6%) |
| 2024 | $723.4m (-27.3%) | $-27.9m (-156.4%) | $-52.0m (-379.7%) | -3.9% (-177.6%) | — |
| 2025 | $649.0m (-10.3%) | $-22.8m (18.3%) | $34.0m (165.4%) | -3.5% (8.9%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.