Discounted Cash Flow
CVR Energy Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $4.8b | $24.7m | $267.5m | 0.5% | $0.28 |
| 2017 | $6.0b (25.2%) | $234.4m (849.0%) | $166.9m (-37.6%) | 3.9% (657.9%) | $2.00 (614.3%) |
| 2018 | $7.1b (19.0%) | $289.0m (23.3%) | $620.0m (271.5%) | 4.1% (3.6%) | $2.50 (25.0%) |
| 2019 | $6.4b (-10.7%) | $380.0m (31.5%) | $747.0m (20.5%) | 6.0% (47.2%) | $3.78 (51.2%) |
| 2020 | $3.9b (-38.2%) | $-256.0m (-167.4%) | $90.0m (-88.0%) | -6.5% (-209.1%) | $-2.54 (-167.2%) |
| 2021 | $7.2b (84.3%) | $25.0m (109.8%) | $396.0m (340.0%) | 0.3% (105.3%) | $0.25 (109.8%) |
| 2022 | $10.9b (50.5%) | $463.0m (1752.0%) | $692.0m (74.7%) | 4.2% (1130.9%) | $4.60 (1740.0%) |
| 2023 | $9.2b (-15.1%) | $769.0m (66.1%) | $686.0m (-0.9%) | 8.3% (95.7%) | $7.65 (66.3%) |
| 2024 | $7.6b (-17.7%) | $7.0m (-99.1%) | $172.0m (-74.9%) | 0.1% (-98.9%) | $0.06 (-99.2%) |
| 2025 | $7.2b (-5.9%) | $27.0m (285.7%) | $-238.0m (-238.4%) | 0.4% (309.8%) | $0.27 (350.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.