Discounted Cash Flow

Commvault Systems Inc.

CVLT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $650.5m $540.0k $93.6m 0.1% $0.01
2018 $699.4m (7.5%) $-61.9m (-11563.0%) $77.1m (-17.6%) -8.9% (-10761.9%) $-1.37 (-13800.0%)
2019 $711.0m (1.7%) $3.6m (105.8%) $103.6m (34.4%) 0.5% (105.7%) $0.08 (105.8%)
2020 $670.9m (-5.6%) $-5.6m (-258.5%) $85.3m (-17.7%) -0.8% (-268.0%) $-0.12 (-250.0%)
2021 $723.5m (7.8%) $-31.0m (-448.3%) $115.8m (35.8%) -4.3% (-408.5%) $-0.66 (-450.0%)
2022 $769.6m (6.4%) $33.6m (208.6%) $173.3m (49.7%) 4.4% (202.1%) $0.74 (212.1%)
2023 $784.6m (1.9%) $-35.8m (-206.4%) $167.0m (-3.6%) -4.6% (-204.4%) $-0.80 (-208.1%)
2024 $839.2m (7.0%) $168.9m (572.1%) $199.7m (19.6%) 20.1% (541.4%) $3.85 (581.2%)
2025 $995.6m (18.6%) $76.1m (-54.9%) $203.6m (2.0%) 7.6% (-62.0%) $1.74 (-54.8%)
2026 $1.2b (18.9%) $70.7m (-7.2%) $237.2m (16.5%) 6.0% (-21.9%) $1.61 (-7.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model