Discounted Cash Flow
Carvana Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $365.1m | $-93.1m | $-279.8m | -25.5% | $-0.68 |
| 2017 | $858.9m (135.2%) | $-62.8m (32.5%) | $-278.4m (0.5%) | -7.3% (71.3%) | $-1.31 (-92.6%) |
| 2018 | $2.0b (127.7%) | $-61.8m (1.7%) | $-558.0m (-100.4%) | -3.2% (56.8%) | $-2.24 (-71.0%) |
| 2019 | $3.9b (101.5%) | $-114.7m (-85.7%) | $-987.7m (-77.0%) | -2.9% (7.8%) | $-2.45 (-9.4%) |
| 2020 | $5.6b (41.8%) | $-171.1m (-49.3%) | $-968.2m (2.0%) | -3.1% (-5.3%) | $-2.63 (-7.3%) |
| 2021 | $12.8b (129.4%) | $-135.0m (21.1%) | $-135.0m (86.1%) | -1.1% (65.6%) | $-1.63 (38.0%) |
| 2022 | $13.6b (6.2%) | $-1.6b (-1075.6%) | $-1.8b (-1260.0%) | -11.7% (-1007.3%) | $-15.74 (-865.6%) |
| 2023 | $10.8b (-20.8%) | $450.0m (128.4%) | $716.0m (139.0%) | 4.2% (135.8%) | $4.12 (126.2%) |
| 2024 | $13.7b (26.9%) | $210.0m (-53.3%) | $827.0m (15.5%) | 1.5% (-63.2%) | $1.72 (-58.3%) |
| 2025 | $20.3b (48.6%) | $1.4b (570.0%) | $889.0m (7.5%) | 6.9% (350.8%) | $10.22 (494.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.