Discounted Cash Flow

Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.

CWCO · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $57.9m $4.0m $4.4m 6.8% $0.27
2017 $62.3m (7.7%) $6.1m (55.1%) $9.1m (107.9%) 9.9% (44.1%) $0.41 (51.9%)
2018 $65.7m (5.5%) $11.3m (83.8%) $-7.2m (-178.9%) 17.2% (74.3%) $0.75 (82.9%)
2019 $68.8m (4.7%) $12.2m (7.8%) $11.7m (263.2%) 17.7% (3.0%) $0.81 (8.0%)
2020 $72.6m (5.6%) $3.7m (-69.5%) $15.6m (33.6%) 5.1% (-71.1%) $0.24 (-70.4%)
2021 $66.9m (-7.9%) $875.6k (-76.4%) $5.5m (-64.9%) 1.3% (-74.4%) $0.06 (-75.0%)
2022 $94.1m (40.7%) $5.9m (568.8%) $13.8m (151.8%) 6.2% (375.2%) $0.38 (533.3%)
2023 $180.2m (91.5%) $29.6m (405.2%) $2.9m (-78.8%) 16.4% (163.8%) $1.88 (394.7%)
2024 $134.0m (-25.7%) $28.2m (-4.6%) $29.8m (920.2%) 21.1% (28.4%) $1.78 (-5.3%)
2025 $132.1m (-1.4%) $18.3m (-35.1%) $33.2m (11.2%) 13.9% (-34.1%) $1.15 (-35.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model