Discounted Cash Flow
Casella Waste Systems Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $565.0m | $-6.8m | $26.2m | -1.2% | $-0.17 |
| 2017 | $599.3m (6.1%) | $-21.8m (-218.3%) | $43.1m (64.5%) | -3.6% (-200.1%) | $-0.52 (-205.9%) |
| 2018 | $660.7m (10.2%) | $6.4m (129.5%) | $47.6m (10.3%) | 1.0% (126.7%) | $0.15 (128.8%) |
| 2019 | $743.3m (12.5%) | $31.7m (393.0%) | $13.7m (-71.3%) | 4.3% (338.2%) | $0.67 (346.7%) |
| 2020 | $774.6m (4.2%) | $91.1m (187.8%) | $31.8m (132.8%) | 11.8% (176.2%) | $1.87 (179.1%) |
| 2021 | $889.2m (14.8%) | $41.1m (-54.9%) | $59.4m (86.8%) | 4.6% (-60.7%) | $0.80 (-57.2%) |
| 2022 | $1.1b (22.0%) | $53.1m (29.1%) | $86.4m (45.3%) | 4.9% (5.8%) | $1.03 (28.7%) |
| 2023 | $1.3b (16.5%) | $25.4m (-52.1%) | $78.2m (-9.5%) | 2.0% (-58.9%) | $0.46 (-55.3%) |
| 2024 | $1.6b (23.1%) | $13.5m (-46.7%) | $78.1m (-0.1%) | 0.9% (-56.7%) | $0.23 (-50.0%) |
| 2025 | $1.8b (18.0%) | $7.9m (-41.9%) | $84.7m (8.4%) | 0.4% (-50.7%) | $0.12 (-47.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.