Discounted Cash Flow
California Water Service Group
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $609.4m | $48.7m | $159.7m | 8.0% | $1.02 |
| 2017 | $666.9m (9.4%) | $67.2m (38.0%) | $147.8m (-7.4%) | 10.1% (26.1%) | $1.40 (37.3%) |
| 2018 | $698.2m (4.7%) | $65.6m (-2.4%) | $179.0m (21.1%) | 9.4% (-6.8%) | $1.36 (-2.9%) |
| 2019 | $714.6m (2.3%) | $63.1m (-3.8%) | $168.8m (-5.7%) | 8.8% (-6.0%) | $1.31 (-3.7%) |
| 2020 | $794.3m (11.2%) | $96.8m (53.4%) | $117.9m (-30.1%) | 12.2% (38.0%) | $1.97 (50.4%) |
| 2021 | $790.9m (-0.4%) | $101.1m (4.4%) | $231.7m (96.5%) | 12.8% (4.9%) | $1.96 (-0.5%) |
| 2022 | $846.4m (7.0%) | $96.0m (-5.1%) | $-84.0m (-136.2%) | 11.3% (-11.3%) | $1.77 (-9.7%) |
| 2023 | $794.6m (-6.1%) | $51.9m (-45.9%) | $-165.9m (-97.6%) | 6.5% (-42.4%) | $0.91 (-48.6%) |
| 2024 | $1.0b (30.5%) | $190.8m (267.6%) | $-179.9m (-8.4%) | 18.4% (181.7%) | $3.26 (258.2%) |
| 2025 | $1.0b (-3.5%) | $128.2m (-32.8%) | $-214.4m (-19.2%) | 12.8% (-30.3%) | $2.15 (-34.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.