Discounted Cash Flow

Crane NXT Co.

CXT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $2.7b $122.8m $266.6m 4.5% $2.10
2017 $2.8b (1.4%) $171.8m (39.9%) $268.5m (0.7%) 6.2% (38.0%) $2.89 (37.6%)
2018 $3.3b (20.1%) $335.6m (95.3%) $305.0m (13.6%) 10.0% (62.7%) $5.63 (94.8%)
2019 $3.3b (-1.9%) $133.3m (-60.3%) $325.1m (6.6%) 4.1% (-59.5%) $2.23 (-60.4%)
2020 $2.9b (-10.5%) $181.0m (35.8%) $275.4m (-15.3%) 6.2% (51.8%) $3.10 (39.0%)
2021 $3.2b (8.3%) $435.4m (140.6%) $-81.4m (-129.6%) 13.7% (122.2%) $7.46 (140.6%)
2022 $3.4b (6.1%) $401.1m (-7.9%) $-210.0m (-158.0%) 11.9% (-13.2%) $7.11 (-4.7%)
2023 $1.4b (-58.8%) $188.3m (-53.1%) $245.2m (216.8%) 13.5% (13.9%) $3.31 (-53.4%)
2024 $1.5b (6.9%) $184.1m (-2.2%) $168.7m (-31.2%) 12.4% (-8.5%) $3.22 (-2.7%)
2025 $1.7b (11.4%) $145.1m (-21.2%) $198.3m (17.5%) 8.8% (-29.3%) $2.53 (-21.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model