Discounted Cash Flow
China Yuchai International Ltd. Foreign
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $13.7b | $515.7m | $1.8b | 3.8% | $12.89 |
| 2017 | $2.6b (-81.2%) | $150.7m (-70.8%) | $988.6m (-45.4%) | 5.9% (55.8%) | $3.70 (-71.3%) |
| 2018 | $2.4b (-5.2%) | $103.9m (-31.0%) | $250.3m (-74.7%) | 4.3% (-27.3%) | $2.54 (-31.4%) |
| 2019 | $2.5b (4.6%) | $85.4m (-17.8%) | $85.4m (-65.9%) | 3.4% (-21.5%) | $2.09 (-17.7%) |
| 2020 | $3.2b (25.1%) | $84.8m (-0.7%) | $84.8m (-0.7%) | 2.7% (-20.6%) | $2.08 (-0.5%) |
| 2021 | $3.4b (5.8%) | $43.1m (-49.2%) | $11.7m (-86.2%) | 1.3% (-51.9%) | $1.06 (-49.0%) |
| 2022 | $2.3b (-31.4%) | $31.4m (-27.1%) | $31.4m (168.0%) | 1.4% (6.3%) | $0.77 (-27.4%) |
| 2023 | $2.5b (10.2%) | $40.2m (27.8%) | $40.2m (27.8%) | 1.6% (16.0%) | $0.98 (27.3%) |
| 2024 | $2.7b (5.0%) | $45.0m (12.0%) | $316.8m (688.3%) | 1.7% (6.7%) | $1.14 (16.3%) |
| 2025 | $24.7b (824.7%) | $111.1m (146.6%) | $2.3b (619.9%) | 0.5% (-73.3%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.